Indicators for Researching Emerging Markets

Note: Personal Research needs to be conducted if there are no data readily available. Banks, Consultancy, Regional/Local Think Tanks may provide alternative insights.
These are insights gleaned from "Six Sizzling Markets" by Pran Tiku.


1) Demographics


1.1) Population Size, Population Growth

World Economic Outlook Database
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/02/weodata/download.aspx
The downloads are presented in Tab Delimited Values format which is compatible with most commercial statistical packages and Microsoft Excel.

CIA The World Factbook, Population
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2119.html#178

CIA The World Factbook, Population Growth Rate
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2002.html#180


1.2) Death Rates vs Birth Rates

World Bank, Fertility rate
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN

World Bank, Birth rate, crude (per 1,000 people)
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.CBRT.IN/countries?display=default

World Bank, Death rate, crude (per 1,000 people)
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.CDRT.IN

CIA The World Factbook, Birth Rate
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2054.html#13

CIA The World Factbook, Death Rate
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2066rank.html


1.3) Percentage of Youth, Percentage of Elderly, Dependency Ratio

United Nations, World Population Prospects, the 2012 Revision
http://esa.un.org/wpp/Excel-Data/population.htm

World Bank, Age Dependency Ratio
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.DPND.OL


1.4) Vulnerable Unemployment Rate: Female, Youth

World Bank, Vulnerable employment, female
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.EMP.VULN.FE.ZS

UN World Youth Report
http://www.unworldyouthreport.org/

Employment and Labour Markets: Key Tables from OECD
http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/employment/employment-and-labour-markets-key-tables-from-oecd_20752342;jsessionid=i1j7n2jpfhds.x-oecd-live-01


1.5) Median Age of Population

CIA The World Factbook, Median Age
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2177.html


1.6) Breakdown of Labor Pool, Growth of Labor Pool

1.7) Demographic Dividend

1.8) Population Policies, Population Control Programs 

1.9) Factors influencing Population Growth: Healthcare, Urbanization, Education


2) Economic Performance

MACROECONOMY

2.1) Total GDP, Real GDP, Per Capita GDP, Per Capita GDP adjusted by PPP and their relevant growth rates

Various Sources: CIA World Factbook, IMF World Economic Outlook, UNdata, World Bank, OECD

2.2) Informal/Underground/Hidden Economy 

2.3) Positioning for Economic Growth

Growth Environment Score by Goldman Sachs

World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report
http://www.weforum.org/issues/global-competitiveness

Compound Growth Rate of Labor Force
Compound Growth Rate of Capital Stock (Investments)
Compound Growth Rate of Total Factor Productivity (Productive Efficiency)
Weighted Growth Rate of GDP

Labor Market Restrictions: Employee Benefits as % of Wages

Anticompetitive Practices and Legislation

2.4) Export Share of GDP

2.5) Budget Surplus/Deficit: Debt-to-GDP Ratio 

GROWTH OF MIDDLE CLASS

2.6) Income Distribution 

Disposable Income
Household Consumption
Population living below Poverty Line by World Bank
Gini Coefficient
Ratio of Richest 20% to Poorest 20% by United Nations
Savings Rate

2.7) Middle Class

Middle Class as proportion of GDP/Population
Demographics of Middle Class
Internet Use (indicator of development of middle class)
High Speed Internet Connection per Household
Mobile Phone Subscription Rate
Housing Cost & Affordability


TRANSITION & RESTRUCTURING OF ECONOMY


2.8) Sectors: Agricultural, Manufacturing, Services

Employment by Sector
Each Sector as proportion of GDP
Growth rate of individual Sectors & Industries
% of Labor Force in Agriculture/Industrial/Services by CIA World Factbook
Decline of Specific Industry/Sector/Jobs

2.9) Rural to Urban

Rural Unemployment Rate
% of Population living in Urban Areas
Reform Policies and Plans
No. of Cities with at least 1 million people
Rural to Urban Migration Statistics
Rate of Urbanization